MySQL Character Set Support
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SPC Apr 11, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookDay 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK1128 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025Valid 111630Z - 121200Z...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OFNORTH FLORIDA INTO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS AND FAR SOUTHEASTVIRGINIA......SUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may occur this afternoon andevening from parts of north Florida and far southeast Georgia to theeastern Carolinas and far southeast Virginia....North Florida to the Eastern Carolinas and Far SoutheastVirginia...A mid-level trough will continue amplifying today over the southernAppalachians as one embedded speed maximum rotates northeastwardover the Carolinas, and an upstream shortwave trough digssoutheastward from the mid MS Valley into the Southeast. Anassociated weak surface low will develop northeastward acrosseastern NC and far southeast VA, while a trailing cold front movessoutheastward into north FL. Surface dewpoints generally in the lowto mid 50s, in combination with daytime heating beneath coldmid-level temperatures, will support MLCAPE up to 500 J/kg withminimal convective inhibition. Isolated to scattered thunderstormsshould develop this afternoon near the cyclone track across theeastern Carolinas, and along the front in north FL. The weakinstability and relatively straight hodographs aloft suggest someupdraft organization will be possible, with an isolated threat forhail and strong to damaging winds this afternoon/evening.A few low-topped thunderstorms should also occur this afternoon overthe southern Appalachians. However, buoyancy and deep-layer shearwill be weaker compared to areas farther east/southeast, with alimited overall severe threat...Gleason/Leitman.. 04/11/2025Read more |
SPC - No watches are valid as of Fri Apr 11 16:33:02 UTC 2025No watches are valid as of Fri Apr 11 16:33:02 UTC 2025. |
SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Fri Apr 11 16:33:02 UTC 2025No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Apr 11 16:33:02 UTC 2025. |
SPC Apr 11, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookDay 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0738 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025Valid 111300Z - 121200Z...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THISAFTERNOON/EVENING FROM NORTH FLORIDA TO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA ANDEXTREME SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA......SUMMARY...Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms are possible fromthe eastern Carolinas into southeast Virginia and across farsoutheast Georgia and northern Florida....North FL to eastern NC this afternoon/evening...A midlevel trough is in the process of amplifying over the southernAppalachians as one embedded speed max rotates northeastward overthe Carolinas today, and an upstream speed max digs southeastwardfrom the mid MS Valley to the Southeast. An associated surfacecyclone will develop northeastward across the eastern Carolinastoday, while a trailing cold front moves southeastward into northFL. Boundary-layer dewpoints in the low-mid 50s, in combinationwith surface heating beneath cold (less than -20 C at 500 mb)midlevel temperatures, will result in MLCAPE near 500 J/kg withminimal convective inhibition. Scattered thunderstorms are expectedto form this afternoon near the cyclone track across the easternCarolinas and along the front in north FL. The weak buoyancy andrelatively straight hodographs suggest some storm organization willbe possible with a low-end threat for hail and strong outflow windsfor a few hours this afternoon/evening. A few low-topped thunderstorms are also expected this afternoon overthe southern Appalachians. However, buoyancy and vertical shearwill be weaker compared to areas farther east and southeast, andonly sub-severe hail/wind is expected...Thompson/Dean.. 04/11/2025Read more |